Feb 26 2008
Republicans for Obama
An interesting outlook from The Houston Chronicle…
In Democratic primary, expect a GOP turnout
BASTROP — At John’s barber and styling shop in the historic downtown of this conservative community southeast of Austin, politics is clearly in the air these days.
What has particularly struck stylist Pete Campos is how many of his Republican customers are talking about voting for Barack Obama in the March 4 Democratic presidential primary, motivated more, he surmised, by a strong dislike of Hillary Clinton than a strong attachment to Obama.
“I think Hillary scares some people,” said Campos, an independent who is leaning toward voting for the Illinois senator.
According to polling, as well as anecdotal evidence, an unusually large number of Republicans and independents may cast their votes in the Democratic contest next week, a prospect that could tip the outcome of what polls show is now a tight race. Such defections could also affect the many local and state legislative primaries around the state.[..]
Daron Shaw, a political science professor at University of Texas, said surveys he conducted in two state legislative districts in the Dallas-Fort Worth area revealed that almost a quarter of voters with a history of voting in GOP primaries planned on participating in the Democratic primary.
Shaw, who conducts exit polls for Fox News, said that while some Republicans are voting in the Democratic primary largely for strategic reasons, he said others may be tired of GOP control of government and are drawn to a fresh face and ideas.
Another factor contributing to the crossover voting is a lackluster GOP presidential contest. Front-runner John McCain is expected to win the nomination, no matter how well rivals Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul do in the Lone Star State.
With the Arizona senator in command of the GOP race, some Republicans are motivated to cast a protest vote against Clinton.[..]
Even though polls show that Clinton would be a weaker candidate against McCain than would Obama, experts say Republicans, who have long expressed a visceral distaste for Bill and Hillary Clinton, want to prevent her from being on the ballot in November.
“The argument I’ve seen is, ‘Let’s get rid of Clinton once and for all,’ ” said Ralph Bordie, who conducts the IVR Poll in Texas.
Bordie’s latest statewide poll released last week found that 15 percent of Texas Republicans who said they will support the GOP nominee in November plan nonetheless on voting for Obama next week.
Debi McLoughlin, a 52-year-old Department of Public Safety worker who was waiting while her daughter had her hair cut, said she usually supports Republicans. But she is likely to declare herself a Democrat so she can choose Obama.
“A vote for Obama is a vote against Hillary,” said McLoughlin. She may also vote for Obama again in the general election because she thinks the 71-year-old McCain is too old.
It is no secret that conservatives despise Bill and Hillary Clinton. It would not surprise me to learn that a lot of Republicans in Texas are voting for Senator Obama in the Democratic primary with the goal of ensuring Senator Clinton’s defeat.
As of close of business yesterday, 131,876 voters in Texas had voted early in the Republican primary. 419,192 voters had voted early in the Democratic primary. That is quite a disparity in this supposedly “red” state. (source)
